So you might have heard that everyone is expecting OpenAI to drop something big this week, maybe today. And of course, on this day, this comes out – a screenshot that seems to imply that GPT 4.5 is ready to be released.
Now, I think there’s less than a 50% chance that this screenshot is real. I would not bet money on this being real. But there has been a lot of speculation, rumors, and guesses about when the next big thing by OpenAI will be released. On manifolds markets, people are betting on the release of GPT 4.5 to come out in December. It started out low, like at 13%, and today it hit a high of 67%. So a lot of people are betting that it’s coming out in December.
In the first part of this article, let’s go over the speculations, and in the last part, we’ll look at the actual things that OpenAI has confirmed are being released. They did make a few announcements this week about the new things that they’re releasing and starting and spinning up.
So, if you don’t like the speculation, I’ll make chapters so you can skip to the parts that interest you. The first part will cover the rumors, and the last part will cover the facts.
First of all, there are multiple leakers on Twitter, such as SLX, that have been very correct in predicting certain things that are happening before the rest of us figure out that they’re happening. Jimmy Apple’s post suggests keeping an eye out on a potential end-of-December GPT 4.5 drop. Now, if you’re not aware, there’s a big AI/machine learning conference going on right now that opened its doors for the first time 8 years ago, coinciding with the date of this conference. The original GPT was launched in time for this conference, so many earth-shaking events tend to line up with this conference. The conference is a conference on neural information processing systems, and many believe that GPT 4.5 is likely to be announced during this conference.
Another potential rumor that people have been talking about is the fact that Google launched Gemini ahead of schedule to preemptively put themselves in a position to reinforce their position before GPT 4.5 got released. There’s a screenshot of what’s supposed to be an internal communication within Google saying that they’re taking decisive action in response to potential impacts of GPT 4.5.
These are just rumors, and we don’t know if any of these things are true or not. But a lot of people are expecting something big to drop, so we’ll see. If these rumors turn out to be true, it could provide more validation to the anonymous people leaking information.
On the other hand, OpenAI has confirmed a few things that are happening. For instance, they have launched Converge 2, a fund for new generations of AI companies. They are opening applications for Converge 2, which is their second run of this program. They also announced a new direction for super alignment for AI safety, highlighting promising results and addressing the challenge of aligning future superhuman models.
With the potential development of superintelligence AI within the next 10 years, OpenAI is working on ways to reliably steer and control these superhuman AI systems. This problem is essential for ensuring that even the most advanced AI systems in the future remain safe and beneficial to humanity.
OpenAI recently released a paper introducing a new research direction for aligning superhuman models. They are looking at ways to use small models to supervise larger, more capable models, addressing the core challenge of AGI alignment.
There is ongoing debate and concern about the alignment of future AI systems and the potential risks associated with superintelligence. Some believe that the probability of doom is high, while others are optimistic about finding solutions to align AI with human values.
As researchers strive to make progress on aligning superhuman AI models, there is an increasing recognition of the importance of establishing extremely high reliability in the alignment of these systems. This is crucial to ensure that advanced AI systems remain safe and beneficial to humanity.
In conclusion, the development of superhuman AI models presents both great potential and significant challenges. OpenAI and other researchers are working on innovative approaches to aligning AI systems with human values and ensuring the safe and beneficial development of future AI technologies.
As we await further announcements and developments from OpenAI, it is crucial to continue discussing and exploring the implications and challenges of advancing AI technologies. The future of AI holds great promise, but we must also be vigilant in addressing potential risks and ensuring the responsible development and deployment of these powerful technologies. Thank you for reading.
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